Update 9/8/2004: The publishing of the Pakistan weather reports yielded
excellent results. Next year
in addition to daily forecast,
they will plan to give a Weekly-Outlook & Monthly-Outlook for climbers to
manage/improve their planning. If you have an expedition next year in Pakistan
and wish to receive these reports e-mail us
Note: These forecasts have been used in the past with excellent results,
however one should always be reminded these are forecasts and forecasts can be
wrong. Climbing mountains is a very high risk activity where people die, many
times due to the weather, SO be careful. Also note: These are for Pakistan K2,
not Chinese K2, which could have a very different weather pattern.
"Weather is still Bad with High
Winds/Isolated Snowfall over K2/BP areas, No relief in next few days, Be
Weather is still BAD over K2/BP
area due to High Winds: Partly Cloudy conditions with isolated snowfall likely
during next few days. Upper Winds are expected to increase further from
Saturday. Next few days will be HARD, Be Careful
Update 8/18/2004: Cloud formation with isolated snowfall likely
due to Upper High Winds during next few days. There may be slight relief on
Thursday, but the weather will be BAD again from Friday over K2/BP areas.
Update 8/17/2004: "Weather is now BAD for K2/BP areas due to
High Winds, These High Winds (Mostly Westerly:40/50 Knots) are likely
to prevail for another 3/4 days, and NO Significant Relief is insight in
next several days. During next 3/4 days clouds development/isolated
snowfall with cold-winds is expected over & around K2/BP area, Be Careful."
Update 8/16/2004: Upper-Winds are increasing... Upper Winds
over K2/BP are now increasing with Westerly direction, So the Window is going
to close partially. During next few days (3/4 days), The Upper Winds will be
HIGH causing some clouds development/isolated snowfall for times especially at
"Weather is still Good for K2/BP
areas for another 2 days, Upper Winds are normal with Westerly direction now.
But the Upper Winds are likely to increase from Tuesday gradually, some clouds
development expected on Tuesday Evening, and Upper Winds will be again HIGH
from Tue-Thurs (about 50 knots) and isolated snowfall with sunny intervals
likely during this period."
"Weather is Good for K2/BP area
for another 2/3 days with normal upper winds. NWl'y Winds expected on Sunday;
and Westerly on Monday. Upper Winds are again likely to increase gradually
"Weather is OPEN for next 3/4
days over K2/BP areas with good sunny intervals, some clouds may develop
locally at evenings/early mornings but No Stormy/Foggy conditions expected
during this period. Upper Winds are becoming low, direction will be NW'y on
Sat/Sun, W'ly on Monday."
Weather is now going to improve
over K2/BP from Thursday, Upper Winds speed is expected to decrease within 24
hrs. Next 4/5 days will be good but the direction of upper winds is likely to
"Upper Winds over K2/BP are
still Very-High due to a strong-jet passing at north of K2,Wednesday will be
Hard by High-Winds with some clouds/isolated snowfall. The Weather is likely
to improve from Thursday-Evening." Another Good Window (4/5 days) coming after
Update 8/9/2004: "A Strong Jet is passing at north of K2/BP,
and therefore Upper Winds over K2/BP are Very-High now with mostly westerly
direction. Same conditions of High-Winds with occasional clouds/isolated
snowfall likely to prevail for another 2/3 days. Be Careful as Tuesday will be
Rumors of Japanese summits on Sunday in HIGH
Westerly winds as
Upper Winds are now almost HIGH,
becoming more High (from Monday) with Westerly/Slightly Southwesterly
direction, "occasional clouds formation with snowfall for times" expected
during next 3 days (Mon-Wed). Next 3 Days are Hard regarding High-Winds.
Another Good/Long Window coming after 3/4 days."
"Weather is still OPEN for K2/BP
area with good Sunny-Days for another 2 days, Upper Winds are Westerly and
likely to increase gradually from Sunday with some Clouds development, but No
Snowfall/Stormy-Conditions expected in next 2/3 days. Upper Winds will be
Very-High in coming days (From Monday).
Update 8/5/2004: "Weather is still OPEN for K2/BP for next 2/3
days with High Westerly Winds". Upper Winds are likely to increase gradually
(with same direction) from Sunday.
"High-Westerly-Winds"...mean... Not to much High but slightly above normal
(speed may be between 40-50 knots), which is likely to increase gradually from
Saturday-Evening/Sunday-Morning. No significant change is expected in next 3/5
days except "High-Winds", Sunday-Monday-Tuesday may be HARD due to High-Winds
Update 8/4/2004: "Weather is now OPEN, with High Westerly
Upper Winds, for Next 3 days over K2/BP
Editorial Note: Climbers on K2 and Broad Peak are headed
K2/BP’s areas are under the
influence of a Strong-Jet , Upper winds will be Very High/Southwesterly with
Snowstorms/Blowing Ice-crystals during next 2 days, Wednesday will be
VERY-HARD, Be careful till Wed-Evening. Weather is likely to improve from
Mon-Tues-Wed): K2/BP’s areas are under the influence of a Strong-Jet , making
some Hard Days (Mon-Wed), Upper winds will be VERY HIGH/SW’LY with
Snowstorms/Blowing Ice-crystals during next 3 days, Temperatures are expected
to fall further. Be careful till Wed-Evening.
“Weather is becoming BAD as a
strong jet is likely to approach K2/BP area in next 24 hrs, Upper-Winds are
increasing gradually (Winds will be High/Westerly on Sunday), with Clouds
formation/Snowfall over/around K2/BP.”
Mon-Tues-Wed): Due to a Strong-Jet , Some Hard Days are going to start with
VERY HIGH-WINDS/SNOW-STORMS over K2/BPks from Sunday-Evening/Monday to
Wed-Evening. Upper Winds will be Very High & Southwesterly from Monday. Be
“Weather is now BAD becoming
more BAD in coming days for K2/BP area, as Upper-Winds are increasing
gradually (Winds will be High/Westerly on Saturday, becoming SW’ly from
Sunday), with Clouds formation/Snowfall over/around K2/BP.”
WEATHER-ALERT: (First 3 or 4
Days of Aug will be VERY-HARD)
A Strong-Jet is close to
K2/BP area, likely to approach Sunday morning; Some Hard Days are going to
start with VERY HIGH-WINDS/SNOW-STORMS over K2/BP from 01– 4th Aug. Because
No Activity possible during these days and Very-High/Southwesterly-Winds may
create problems, Please Take it VERY SERIOUSLY & BE CAREFUL
Update 7/29/2004: “Weather is now bad for K2/BP area , as
Upper-Winds are likely to increase gradually further (Upper Winds will be
High/Westerly in next 2 days), with Clouds formation/Snowfall over/around
WEATHER-ALERT: (First 3 or 4 Days of Next month will be
VERY-HARD) Another Strong Jet likely to approach K2/BP area from Saturday;
Some Hard Days are expected with VERY HIGH-WINDS/SNOW-STORMS over K2/BP from
31st July – 4th Aug. Be ready and arrange your activities accordingly.
Because No Activity possible during these days and
Very-High/Southwesterly-Winds may create problems, Please BE CAREFUL.
“Weather is now going to change over K2/BP area from Thursday (29th July), as Upper-Winds are likely
to increase (Upper Winds will be High/Westerly in next 2 days), But no
change in wind direction during this period. Clouds formation over/around
K2/BP has started but still No significant (Stormy/Snowy) change expected in
next 2 days.
WEATHER-ALERT: (First 3 or 4 Days of Next month will be VERY-HARD)
Another Strong Jet likely to
approach K2/BP area from 31st July; Some Hard Days are expected with VERY
HIGH-WINDS/SNOW-STORMS over K2/BP from 31st July – 4th Aug. Be ready and
arrange your activities accordingly.
“Weather is still FINE for K2/BP
area for another 2 days, Some isolated Clouds may develop over/around the area
but no stormy/severe activity expected.”
Upper Winds are Westerly,
likely to increase gradually from 29th July (Thursday-Evening) ,may be Very
High with Westerly direction from Friday.
Another Strong Jet likely to
approach K2/BP area from 31st July; A Hard-Period(31 july-4th Aug) expected
with VERY HIGH-WINDS/SNOW-STORMS. Be ready and arrange your activities
accordingly, as 3-DAYS(1st-3rd Aug) will be VERY BAD.
Pakistan Meteorological Dept,
Update 7/26/2004: "Weather is still OPEN for K2/BP for next 2/3
days, Upper Winds will be Normal/Westerly, No significant change before 29th
Upper Winds likely to increase gradually from Thursday
Evening/Friday, Weather expected to Disturb from 31st July or 1st Aug. First
3/4 days of August will be Very Hard for K2/BP
Update 7/24/2004: "Weather is open for K2/BP area, No need to
worry as No significant Change likely till 28th July".
Due to Some
Monsoon Currents occasional CLOUDS are expected to develop in south of K2/BP
area during next 3/4 days but these eastern-monsoon currents (normally move
below 15,000 ft) cannot cross 35°N due to high mountains barrier. Some Clouds
may approach Skardu but no stormy/snowy conditions expected. Upper Winds are
likely to behave normally (mostly westerly) in next 4/5 days.
The Wind Speed
expected to increase from Thursday-Evening (29th July), the Weather over K2/BP
likely to disturb from 31st-July or 1st Aug.
Update 7/23/2004: "Hard Days for K2/BP have gone, now weather
for next 5 days (24-28 July) is clear with mostly sunny days & Westerly-Winds
(from mid to Upper Levels). Some Clouds may develop at evenings but no
stormy/foggy conditions expected during these days". Good Luck for All
"The current weather conditions
likely to prevail for one more day: Friday Morning may be better with
sunny-interval but Evening will be Bad with Clouds/SW'ly High Winds over
K2/BP. Tomorrow is the last day, as weather is expected to improve from
Saturday, and SOME GOOD DAYS(5/6) ARE STARTING DAY AFTER." During this
period(24-28 July), The Upper Winds will be mostly WESTERLY
Update 7/21/2004: "Weather is still Bad over K2/BP area
with High-Winds/Cloud-Fog Formation; The same conditions likely to prevail for
another 2 days, Upper Winds will be SW'ly with same speed. Thursday Evening
may be Hard, Be Careful."
Weather is expected to improve from 24th July (Saturday),
Some Good Days are coming
Update 7/20/2004: "The tail of Strong-Jet is still affecting
K2/BP areas, weather has slightly improved as compared to last 5 days, but
100% clearance not possible in next 3 days."
OUTLOOK of NEXT 3 DAYS:
1-Some sunny-intervals likely at mornings/day-times but
Evenings/Afternoons may be Hard over K2/BP;Wed/Thurs-Evenings may be Hard, Be
2-Upper Winds direction will be SW'ly in next 3 days.
3-Upper Winds Speed will not change.
Good Weather expected from 24th July (Saturday) ,giving a
GOOD-WINDOW of 5/6 Days.
"K2/BP area is still under the
influence of a Strong-Jet, causing Very High-Winds/Snow Storms/Poor
Visibility". The Bad-Weather/Strong Jet expected to prevail for another 24
hrs, Monday will be Very Hard, Please Be CAREFUL for one more day.
The Weather Conditions over
K2/BP are likely to improve from TUESDAY, Wind Speed at Upper Level
(20,000-30,000 ft) is expected to fall (from Tuesday Morning), But 100%
Weather Clearance is still not possible in next few days.
Outlook for coming 3/4 days
1-The Wind Speed expected to
decrease about 30% in coming days.
2-Some good sunny intervals
may be observed at morning/day times ,But Evenings may be Hard by Cloud
3-Wind at Upper Level is
Backing slightly (SW to WSW).
"The Weather is still VERY BAD
for K2/BPk area due to a strong jet, Jet is likely to leave this area from
19th July. The upper winds are expected to fall/decrease from Monday. But
SUNDAY will be very Hard. Please BE CAREFUL for next 2 days.
Update 7/16/2004: "Weather becoming more BAD for K2/BP, Next 2
days are very Hard for K2/BP as Upper-Winds are likely to increase further on
Saturday Evening. High Stormy Winds/Snow storm with very poor visibility
expected in next 2/3 days."
be VERY CAREFUL in next 3 days.
Strong-Jet expected to approach
K2/BP in next 24 hrs (Friday), likely to persist till 19th July (Monday). Very
Hard/Worst Days (becoming more hard) have started. All Climbers should be
VERY-CAREFUL during next 4 days as Very High Winds may deceive with some
Upper Winds are already High,
going further high in coming days.
Stormy-Winds/Snow-Storms with Zero Visibility" will be frequent in next 4
days. Most Hard Days are SATURDAY/SUNDAY for K2/BP.
Upper Winds Trend for Next 3
20,000 ft= SW 40/50 Kts
22,000 ft= SW 50/60 Kts
25,000 ft= SW 60/70 Kts
28,000 ft= SW 70/80 Kts...Mostly
Southerly on Sat-Evening/Monday.. Wind may shoot up to 90 Kts.
Update 7/14/2004: "The weather is becoming BAD/HARD, as a
Strong-Jet is close to Northern parts of Pakistan, likely to pass at
North/Northwest of K2/BP in next 24 hrs. This JET stream is likely to approach
K2/BP in next 48 hrs; and expected to prevail for 3 to 4 days."
BE VERY CAREFUL in next 4 days, as "Very High/Stormy Winds
with Snow-Storm" will create problems over K2/Bpks areas.
The weather is now becoming bad
in coming days. "Partly Cloudy with Overcast at evening" conditions expected
to prevail on Wednesday. Tonight (Tuesday) may be hard due to some
high-winds/snowfall, The Upper Winds are now likely to increase gradually
especially around K2. The wind-direction is presently westerly (almost)
but now it will start backing (gradually SW'ly).
Climbers Alert: Strong Jet
is getting close Northern Areas of Pakistan, likely to pass at North/Northwest
of K2/BP between 14-19 July, expected to affect K2 on Thursday-Morning & BP on
Thursday-Evening. Some very hard-days(16-19 July) are coming, Be VERY
careful during these days because VERY HIGH-WINDS/BLOWING-SNOW/BLOWING
ICE-CRYSTALS expected commonly with VERY POOR VISIBILITY. The intensity of
Storms will be HIGH at afternoon/evenings.
Next 2 days are good with
Fair/Partly Cloudy conditions, No stormy conditions, Winds are almost normal",
after 2 days the Clouds-Development will be frequent & Wind speed likely to
Climbers Alert: Strong Jet
likely to pass at North/Northwest of K2/BP between 14-19th July. Lower Edge
of this JET will affect K2/BP area badly from 16th July-18th July making
3/4 hard days. During this period "HIGH-STORMY-WINDS with Blowing Snow/ice
crystals" are expected....."LAST 3 DAYS OF THIS WEEK WILL BE HARD
Update 7/9/2004: Today (Friday) was a
hard day due to clouds/snowfall, But the weather is again becoming good.
"Partly Cloudy Conditions with good Sunny intervals" likely during next few
days(3/4).The Upper Winds have started weakening, No Storm/High Winds next
couple of days.
Climbers Alert: A strong Jet is now
crossing North Caspian Sea, and it is likely to pass from northwest of K2/BP
between 14-19th July making some hard days at the end of next week.
Update 7/8/2004: Partly Cloudy weather conditions likely to
prevail in next two days, with some isolated snowfall, but no stormy
conditions are prevailing
Update 7/7/2004: The "Clouds formation
with some snowfall" in the areas pf K2/BP has stopped, now the next few days
are good with clear weather conditions. The Upper Winds are still high
but likely to reduce gradually, no significant stormy-conditions expected in
next few days.
Climbers Alert: A strong
westerly jet has approached North-Caspian Sea, "It is likely to recurve
NE-ward from North of Afghanistan after few days(4/5)". Hopefully it will pass
at northwest of K2 during next week, but it may graze K2/BP .We are watching
this jet, and please follow this Alert message daily
Update 7/4/2004: Cloudy with some sunny intervals weather conditions likely to
prevail for another few days. A jet of weak/moderate intensity is now passing
at north of K2/BP, the winds are becoming HIGH at mid/upper level; and likely
to remain high during next 2 days.
Climbers Alert: A
strong Jet expected to approach next week.
Update 7/3/2004: The Clouds are developing daily in the areas of K2/BP, such
development will continue for next few days. A weak/moderate jet likely to
start passing at north of K2/BP from Monday-Evening, So the winds at mid/upper
levels are expected to increase gradually from Tuesday. During next 3 days the
winds are likely to remain HIGH, some isolated ppt (snowfall,
blowing-snow/ice-crystals) can reduce the visibility.
Climbers Alert: Strong Jet expected to approach after 6/7 days, making some
Regards/Good Luck for All Climbers.
Update 7/2/2004: "The
Clouds have developed today (Friday) in the areas of K2/Broad-Peaks, such
formation will be very frequent (in afternoon/evenings) during next 3/4 days
by disturbing the visibility. Some isolated ppt (snow flares, Prob 20%) may
occur, But No Stormy Conditions and Normal Winds are prevailing.
Winds are expected to remain
HIGH from "Monday-Evening to Wed-Evening", as a Weak/Moderate Jet likely
to pass at North of K2/BP. After that the weather will be fine again."
Jet likely to approach after 7/8 days, may prevail for 3/4 days. Be ready to
face some hard days, and plan your movement accordingly.
Update 7/1/2004:I am here
giving a map regarding Normal (Rainfall/Winds) of July, please send/publish
this map for your climbers . The Weather outlook is same (No Significant
Change in next 3/4 days). But inform your climbers that ;
1- Evening Clouds formation
daily in next few days.
2-A Normal/Weak Jet likely to
pass at north of K2/Broad Peak after 3 days(5th & 6th July), The winds will be
high for 2 days (Monday/Tuesday) with Cloudy conditions at evenings .No
significant storm But "be careful" for these 2 days.
||Lower resolution for climbers on K2/Broad
Update 6/30/2004: Weather Outlook is same as yesterday.
Weather conditions are still same " No Jet, Normal Winds, Clear weather" for
next few days. This period is at least for next 5/6 days, may extend up to
next 10 days, because another "jet" likely to approach after 7 or 8th July.
During next few days the
climbers will observe some "clouds at evenings", which may disturb visibility
for 2-3 hours. These clouds may be due to local formation, and no need to
worry by this formation.
The Winds Trend For Next 3/4
Mid Level Winds/5000-15000
ft...........Mostly W'ly:30/40 Knots.
Wishes......Pakistan Meteorological Dept
Update 6/27/2004: The last few days
there has been a very bad storm in the Broad Peak/K2
area. It has affected many expeditions trying to get to
the mountain. The good news according to Pakistan
Meteorological Dept, Senior Meteorologist is "that the
Storm has passed today, now the next 7/8 days are clear
with good weather conditions. These 7 or 8 days are
ideal for movement/activity, don't miss this good
period. No jet is near the area, Upper Winds are almost
NW'ly becoming Westerly with reducing speed. Lower
Winds, below 10/15,000 ft are variable ranging 10-20
knots, mostly Northerly. Again the bottom line is" NEXT
7 DAYS ARE VERY GOOD."... Pakistan Meteorological Dept,
With that said, the snow on the
mountain means the avalanche danger is high. These
forecasts have been used in the past with excellent
results, however one should always be reminded these are
forecasts and forecasts can be wrong. Climbing mountains
is a very high risk activity where people die, many
times due to the weather, SO be careful.
Digital Altimeter, Barometer, Compass and Thermometer. Time/Date/Alarms.
Chronograph with 24 hour working range. Timer with stop, repeat and up
function. Rotating Bezel. Leveling bubble. Carabiner latch. E.L. 3 second
backlight. Water resistant. 4" x 2-1/4" x 3/4" 2 oz. Requires 1 CR2032
See more here.